(Bloomberg) -- Asian equities extended the global rally in risk assets amid speculation Tuesday’s US consumer price data will support bets that inflation there is near peaking.
Most Read from Bloomberg
The World’s Hottest Housing Markets Are Facing a Painful Reset
Russian Defenses Crumble as Ukraine Retakes Key Territory
Goldman to Cut Several Hundred Jobs Starting This Month
Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin Rocket Suffers Failure Seconds Into Uncrewed Launch
Ukrainian Successes Raise Russian Collapse to Realm of Possibility
Stocks rose in Japan, Australia and Hong Kong. European stock futures fell, while US contracts were steady after the S&P 500 completed its best four-day surge since June on Monday following robust pre-order data for Apple Inc.’s iPhone 14 Pro Max.
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index declined a third day, the longest losing streak in more than a month, as investors weigh positive signs in the economy against hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve policy makers. Treasury yields inched lower Tuesday after the curve steepened during the US session.
The inflation report is expected to show headline CPI cooled in August to an 8% a year pace while the core measure that excludes food and energy is seen accelerating. Traders almost fully expect another jumbo-sized hike next week, following two 75-basis-point increases, taking their cue from officials supporting that view.
“Any potential upside surprise will likely see more volatility in rates,” said Giulia Specchia, a macro strategist at UBS Group AG in Sydney. “We do expect the monthly pace of inflation to slow notably over the remainder of the year.”
Read more: Markets Look for Soft CPI But Devil Will Be in the Details
US bond-market indicators suggest that investors are gaining confidence that this year’s spike in inflationary pressures will be brought under control. The cost of hedging high inflation has fallen, while so-called breakeven rates on Treasury Inflation Protected Securities -- a proxy for where markets expect inflation to be -- have also dropped.
Among other assets, crude oil erased gains as global demand concerns offset tailwinds from the greenback’s recent decline and Bitcoin traded above $22,000. The offshore yuan weakened versus the dollar, even as the People’s Bank of China set the daily reference rate for the currency stronger than expected for a 14th day.
The PBOC’s actions have been a “bit of a handbrake” on investors getting too negative on the yuan, Paul Mackel, global head of currency research at HSBC Holdings Plc, said on Bloomberg Television. “There’s still a lot of cyclical pressure against the currency.”
What’s your dollar bet ahead of the Fed decision? This week’s MLIV Pulse survey asks about the best trades ahead of the FOMC meeting. Please click here to share your views anonymously.
Here are some key events to watch this week:
US CPI, Tuesday
UK CPI, Wednesday
US PPI, Wednesday
US business inventories, empire manufacturing, retail sales, initial jobless claims, industrial production, Thursday
China home sales, retail sales, industrial production, fixed assets, surveyed jobless rate, Friday
Euro area CPI, Friday
US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
S&P 500 futures were little changed as of 6:24 a.m. in London. The index climbed 1.1% on Monday
Nasdaq 100 contracts were flat. The gauge jumped 1.2%
Japan’s Topix index gained 0.3%
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index climbed 0.7%
Kospi index advanced 2.6%
Hang Seng Index jumped 0.4%
Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.3%
Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.2%
Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1%
The euro rose 0.1% to $1.0131 to the dollar
The Japanese yen rose 0.2% to 142.50 per dollar
The offshore yuan slipped 0.1% to 6.9256 versus the dollar
Bonds
The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell two basis points to 3.34%
The yield on 10-year Australian bonds fell six basis points to 3.58%
Commodities
West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 0.2% to $87.63 a barrel
Gold traded at $1,722.02 an ounce
Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek
Google’s Loon Project Gets Resurrected. Without Google. Or Balloons
Startups Are Borrowing More as the Easy Venture Capital Money Vanishes
The Alzheimer’s Drug Approval Mess Has Left Millions of People in Limbo
Dry Cleaners Were Disappearing Even Before the Pandemic
UK’s New Prime Minister Takes Charge of a Nation Adrift
©2022 Bloomberg L.P.
