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US Futures Fall as Asian Stocks Play Catch-Up: Markets Wrap

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(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks extended a rally on Wednesday following the best two-day run for US equities in more than two years, as investors begin to anticipate a slowing to central bank tightening that could jolt risk assets higher.

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Australian, Japanese and South Korean equities traded higher, bolstering a rally on Tuesday as improving risk sentiment drags global equities from oversold levels. The S&P 500 climbed 3.1% and European stocks jumped by the biggest margin since March. Elon Musk revived his $44 billion bid for Twitter Inc., which soared 22%.

A decline in US job openings provided evidence the labor market may be cooling, offering hope the Federal Reserve may soon slow its rate-hiking path. A Fed official suggested the Fed still had further to go in tightening monetary policy to combat inflation, however, dimming hopes the central bank would follow the Reserve Bank of Australia, which increased rates less than anticipated on Tuesday.

“Last week’s pivot by the Bank of England seems to have convinced investors that the Fed now must give more weight to financial stability, which means that the current monetary tightening cycle might end sooner rather than later,” said Ed Yardeni, president of his eponymous research firm, in a note.

A Bloomberg index of the dollar steadied after falling 3% from a peak last week. The pound inched lower after climbing on Tuesday to the highest level in two weeks. The price of oil traded flat after jumping on Tuesday as OPEC+ said it was considering an output cut of as much as 2 million barrels a day, double prior estimates.

Investors will be keenly focused on Friday’s US jobs data that economists anticipate is set to show a slowing in new jobs added.

“For the market to continue higher, the jobs data will have to be in-line with, or short of expectations,” said Lindsey Bell, chief markets and money strategist at Ally. The market is currently anticipating a “goldilocks” labor-market report that’s “not too hot and not too cold.”

Key events this week:

Eurozone services PMIs, Wednesday

OPEC+ meeting begins, Wednesday

Fed’s Raphael Bostic speaks, Wednesday

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets, Wednesday

Eurozone retail sales, Thursday

US initial jobless claims, Thursday

Fed’s Charles Evans, Lisa Cook, Loretta Mester speak at events, Thursday

US unemployment, wholesale inventories, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

BOE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden speaks at event, Friday

Fed’s John Williams speaks at event, Friday

Will earnings disappoint and push equities to new lows? This week’s MLIV Pulse survey asks about corporate earnings. It’s brief and we don’t collect your name or any contact information. Please click here to share your views.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

The S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% as of 9.08 a.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 added 3.1%

Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.3%. The Nasdaq 100 gained 3.1%

Japan’s Topix climbed 0.5%

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.4%

Currencies

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index traded flat

The Japanese yen climbed 0.3% to 143.70 per dollar

The offshore yuan climbed 0.3% to 7.0327 per dollar

The euro was flat at $0.9989

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin rose 0.2% to $20,293.42

Ether rose 0.1% to $1,361.23

Bonds

The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.63%

Australia’s 10-year yield fell two basis points to 3.71%

Britain’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 3.87%

Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude traded at $86.60 a barrel

Gold futures were flat at $1,725.71 an ounce

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©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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