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US Stock Futures, Oil Fall on China’s Covid Zero: Markets Wrap

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(Bloomberg) -- Investor appetite soured, sending US equity futures and commodities lower after China affirmed its Covid-Zero policy stance. The dollar advanced against major currencies on its appeal as a haven asset.

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The Australian and New Zealand dollars were the largest decliners among Group-of-10 currencies given their sensitivity to the outlook for Chinese economic growth. The offshore yuan weakened.

Contracts for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell, as did European stock futures, after the shares on Wall Street snapped a four-day slide on Friday. Equities opened higher in Japan, South Korea and Australia, though the gains were more modest than futures had suggested earlier.

Oil slumped around 2%, leading falls in commodities on the prospect of weaker demand from China. Sentiment was further hurt by Apple Inc. projecting lower shipments of its newest iPhones than previously expected amid the impact of China lockdowns on operations at a supplier’s factory.

Expectations for a buoyant start to week were quashed on Saturday when Chinese officials vowed to remain “unswervingly” strict in Beijing’s approach to stamping out the coronavirus. The nation’s stocks had rallied aggressively on Friday on bets for an easing of virus curbs.

“Yes valuations for equities in China are extraordinarily low and very compelling,” George Boubouras, head of research at K2 Asset Management, said on Bloomberg Television. “It’s just there is too much risk associated with it.”

The jolt from China comes on top of headwinds from Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes. US data Friday -- showing strong hiring and wage increases along with higher unemployment -- offered a mixed picture for Fed officials debating how long to extend their campaign to curb elevated inflation.

Fed fund futures are leaning toward pricing a 50-basis-point hike in December, with the peak around 5.1% next year.

Wall Street’s fear gauge is well below the panic levels seen during the pandemic or the 2008 crisis, but volatility is very much a feature of 2022.

The advance in the dollar Monday follows its biggest drop since March 2020 on Friday in Bloomberg’s gauge of the currency. Treasuries were little changed in Asia after the two-year yield, which are more sensitive to imminent policy moves, reversed course and came down on Friday.

“Over the next three to four months, dollar will continue to keep moving higher,” Mahjabeen Zaman, head of FX research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said on Bloomberg Television. “That’s really consistent with the recent FOMC Fed meeting we had where they said they’re going to slow the pace but push on peak rates.”

Markets will watch the latest US inflation reading on Thursday after the core consumer price index rose more than forecast to a 40-year high in September. Even if prices begin to moderate, the CPI is far above the Fed’s comfort zone.

Key events this week:

China trade, Monday

Fed officials Susan Collins, Loretta Mester and Tom Barkin speak at events, Monday

Euro zone retail sales, Tuesday

US midterm elections, Tuesday

EIA oil inventory report, Wednesday

China aggregate financing, PPI, CPI, money supply, new yuan loans, Wednesday

US wholesale inventories, MBA mortgage applications, Wednesday

Fed officials John Williams, Tom Barkin speak at events, Wednesday

US CPI, US initial jobless claims, Thursday

Fed officials Lorie Logan, Esther George, Loretta Mester speak at events, Thursday

US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

Futures on the S&P 500 fell 0.6% as of 9:39 a.m. Tokyo time. The S&P 500 rise 1.4% on Friday

Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.7%. The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.6%

Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.4%

Hang Seng futures rose 1.7%

The Topix Index rose 0.7%

The S&P ASX Index rose 0.3%

Currencies

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3%

The euro fell 0.3% to $0.9932

The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 147.07 per dollar

The offshore yuan fell 0.6% to 7.2316 per dollar

The Australian dollar fell 0.6% to $0.6432

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin fell 1% to $20,925

Ether fell 1.8% to $1,575

Bonds

The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.16%

Australia’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to 3.91%

Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1.7% to $91.07 a barrel

Spot gold fell 0.6% to $1,672.61 an ounce

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©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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