Goldman Sachs has cut its odds of the U.S. going into a recession in the next 12 months, putting it at 15%, down from 20%. In an interview with Yahoo Finance Live from the Goldman Sachs Communacopia conference, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius explains the call saying "the economy has continued to be pretty resilient," adding there has been "supportive" income growth and a balanced labor market. "I think there is increased evidence that we can see rebalancing of the economy, inflation coming under control and it's not going to require a recession. So we have progressively reduced our recession probability," Hatzius says. Hatzius takes it a step further by saying a soft landing is in the cards.
When it comes to the Federal Reserve, Hatzius think it's "highly unlikely" the Fed will hike at it's next meeting. Beyond that, Hatzius says it's "possible" the Fed hikes again, though it's not his expectation. He also says that "the biggest impact of these rate increases now is behind us."
